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front pageToday's NewsChina reduces dollar weighting in trade index

China reduces dollar weighting in trade index

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中国外汇交易中心(CFETS)表示,从1月1日起,将调整CFETS人民币指数。因此,美元的权重将从22.40%减少到21.59%,而欧元的权重将从16.34%增加到17.40%。据记录,这是中国第二次做出这样的决定。

这一变化可能会影响中美贸易关系。目前,中美贸易关系并不令人满意。尽管两国已经做出了一些努力来弥合这种霸权,但一些经济专家认为,这一最新变化可能会进一步影响双方关系。

这一变化可能导致更多的脱离美元,因为当前中美贸易战。此外,由于欧盟和中国都在积极推进中央银行数字货币(CBCDs),这一转变可能会挑战绿票霸权。中国正在向欧盟提供的改善贸易关系也表明,中国正逐渐将主要贸易往来转向欧盟。

CFETS还调整了人民币指数。该指数已经运行了五年。它衡量了中国货币对世界其他24种主要货币的表现。新的调整将通过减少美元在指数中的权重而生效,这是第二次进行调整。中国上次对指数进行调整是在2017年,当时将美元的权重从26.40%削减到22.40%。

目前,篮子中的第二大外币是欧元。中国宣布了变动的原因。根据公告,由于两国之间的双边贸易困难,美元在篮子中的地位正在下降,因此这一变化是必要的。

CBDC改进和商业紧张局势。美国和中国之间所谓的贸易战首阶段解决方案可能会根据这一发展进一步修改。这项协议包括对一些进口中国商品的减税和将美国农产品出口到中国,可能会在本月签署。目前尚不清楚两国是否能够就签署协议的最终细节达成一致。但是,导致拟议签署日期的事件可能会对两国的决定产生重大影响。

中欧之间完美的贸易关系。像往常一样,人民币在指数上占主导地位,紧随其后的是欧盟,中国的主要买卖伙伴。从2019年1月到12月,人民币的交易额增加到77.7%。中国与欧盟一直保持着良好的关系,双方正在推进中央金融机构数字货币的实施。

尽管尚不清楚CFETS的调整是否反映了中美之间商业关系的恶化,但明显表明中国当局正在权衡人民币在中国指数中与美元的地位。

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