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Bitcoin surges amid uncertainty over Chinese stimulus and U.S. presidential speculation

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A number of factors, including China's unclear fiscal stimulus and multiple positive factors, have pushed Bitcoin to a two-week high. Investors, uncertain about the scope of China's economic measures, seem to prefer to put their money into cryptocurrencies rather than Chinese stocks. In addition, the increased possibility of US presidential candidates supporting cryptocurrencies and the delay in repayments related to the Mt. Gox crypto exchange have further boosted sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.

China's unclear economic efforts have driven Bitcoin's gains. The mixed reactions to China's economic efforts have sparked speculation that investors may prefer traditional stocks, especially those related to China. According to a report, investors are reconsidering their strategies due to concerns about the uncertainty of the scale of China's stimulus.

Caroline Mauron, co-founder of digital asset liquidity provider Orbit Markets, analyzed the current market situation. She pointed out that the lack of clear details of China's policies may have played a role in driving funds to Bitcoin. Previously, the rotation of funds from cryptocurrencies to the Chinese stock market was seen as a factor that depressed Bitcoin prices. However, due to the current uncertainty in the Chinese economy, investors seem to be turning to alternative assets such as Bitcoin.

China’s lack of clarity on fiscal measures could push investors to seek safer investments. While Chinese stocks initially led the global market’s rebound, their momentum has begun to wane. The shift has encouraged some investors to explore other avenues, including digital assets like Bitcoin, which they may view as less risky in the current economic climate.

In addition to China’s economic policies, the U.S. presidential race is also playing a major role in Bitcoin’s recent rally. Prediction markets are beginning to favor Republican candidate Donald Trump as supporting cryptocurrencies over Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. As the likelihood of a candidate who could lead the United States supporting cryptocurrencies increases, people are becoming more optimistic about the outlook for the cryptocurrency market.

Another factor driving Bitcoin's gains is the delay in repayments to creditors of the defunct Mt. Gox crypto exchange. The originally expected repayment deadline was extended to October 31, 2025. The extension alleviated concerns that these repayments could cause a large influx of Bitcoin into the market, potentially triggering an oversupply and falling prices. Instead, the market now sees the extension as a positive factor that helps maintain upward pressure on Bitcoin prices.

Benjamin Selemajer, co-chief investment officer at Magnet Capital, noted that Trump's improving poll numbers are amplifying the market's positive reaction to other positive news, including the delayed Mt. Gox repayment plan. Since the delay reduces the likelihood of a sudden sell-off, market sentiment has strengthened, contributing to Bitcoin's current upward trend.

China’s unclear fiscal stimulus, an increasingly likely crypto-friendly U.S. presidential candidate, and delayed repayments from Mt. Gox have combined to create a favorable environment for Bitcoin’s recent price gains. Investors have taken note of these developments and appear to be shifting funds toward cryptocurrencies in search of alternative assets amid an uncertain global economic landscape.

Bitcoin hit a two-week high as China's unclear stimulus measures triggered a shift in funds from stocks to cryptocurrencies. Republican candidate Donald Trump's improved odds and delays at Mt. Gox also boosted market sentiment.

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